神戸大学附属図書館デジタルアーカイブ
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https://doi.org/10.24546/81000909
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2024-04-19
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81000909 (fulltext)
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1.37 MB
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メタデータID
81000909
アクセス権
open access
出版タイプ
Version of Record
タイトル
SHIFTING PATTERNS OF ELASTICITIES OF SUBSTITUTION OF IMPORTS : SPECIFICATION AND ESTIMATION OF A BILATERAL TRADE LINKAGE MODEL
著者
著者ID
A1940
研究者ID
1000090030668
KUID
https://kuid-rm-web.ofc.kobe-u.ac.jp/search/detail?systemId=24f32f7b0724ecdf520e17560c007669
著者名
Toyoda, Toshihisa
豊田, 利久
トヨダ, トシヒサ
所属機関名
社会システムイノベーションセンター
著者名
Kuramoto, Mikio
倉本, 幹男
クラモト, ミキオ
収録物名
Kobe University Economic Review
巻(号)
43
ページ
1-21
出版者
神戸大学大学院経済学研究科
刊行日
1997
公開日
2009-03-16
注記
本文ファイルは、国立情報学研究所CiNiiより提供されたものです。
抄録(自由利用可)
This paper is based on an empirical examination of the shifting patterns of the elasticities of substitution of imports from different trading partners for an importing country, when applied to a world trade linkage model. Among various trade linkage models that have been developed, that by Hickman and Lau (1973), which seems to be most theoretically satisfying, provides an estimate of a constant elasticity of substitution. However, the notion of constant elasticities of substitution, as given by Hickman and Lau, is too restrictive and awkward for an analysis of both differential elasticities among different combinations of trade partners and their shifting patterns over a certain time period. Specifically, we first approximate the cost-minimizing import price index for an importing country into a translog function and derive a multi-equation import share demand system based on recent developments of theory. We estimate this new trade linkage model by the SUR method using the data covering the period 1965-81 for Japan, North America, Western Europe, Oceania, other Asian countries, the Middle East and the rest of the world for four different goods and also for total goods. We conduct some simulation exercises of the predictive ability of the model using some additional observations for later years. Finally, we examine some implications of the results of the shifting patterns of the elasticities of substitution of imports for some selected countries (or regions) and goods. This is an interim report of our final goal of analyzing similar shifting patterns of the elasticities of substitution of imports over a longer time period including the 1990s, that research program being still in progress. The elasticity figures capture both the degrees of trade liberalization and competitiveness and therefore should provide us with some interesting information for the development of world trade.
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社会システムイノベーションセンター
Kobe University Economic Review
>
43号(1997)
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departmental bulletin paper
言語
English (英語)
ISSN
0454-1111
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NCID
AA00261065
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NAID
110005859482
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